Columbia River 2005 Adult Preliminary Returns and 2006 Expectations
December 9, 2005

Adult Returns	Columbia River Fisheries - Recreational	Oregon Coastal Rivers - Recreational	Select Area Fisheries - Commercial
Washington Tributary Spring Chinook - Recreational	Ocean Fisheries - Recreational	Columbia River Fisheries - Commercial	2006 Ocean Fishery Process Schedule

2005 Adult Returns and 2006 Expectations Columbia River Preliminary - December 7, 2005
Adult Returns
	2005 Results	2006 Expectations
Willamette Spring Chinook	116,900 predicted 60,600 actual return to Columbia (lowest since 2000) (10% wild)  54,500 actual run into Willamette 35,500 falls count 3,061 to Leaburg (McKenzie)(2,546 wild) Clackamas 15,000 predicted (15% wild) 12,600 actual return to Clackamas North Fork Dam count 5,800 Clackamas Hatchery return – 4,544	Likely similar to 2005 actual Final forecast December 15
Upriver Summer Steelhead	295,800 actual 293,300 predicted at Bonneville	Similar to recent years
Bright Fall Chinook	388,700 minimum adult return 465,700 predicted	Down from 2005 but still strong
Tule Fall Chinook	172,500 adults 194,200 predicted Below average to poor return of jacks	Down from 2005
Coho	About 300,000 minimum adult return 206,400  predicted Columbia River jack count similar to 2004	Similar to 2005 return
Shad	5.5 million run (record high)
Smelt	Poor return	Poor return
Lower Willamette	5th full selective fishery 79,000 trips 5,600 kept catch 1,900 released 75% mark rate (vs ~80% expected)	Open 7 days/week under permanent selective fishery regulations Mark rate ~80%
Clackamas River	5th full selective fishery 9,800 trips 1,240 kept catch 312 released 80% mark rate	Good return (10,000) Open 7 days/week under permanent selective fishery regulations Mark rate ~75%
Washington Tributary Spring Chinook - Recreational
	2005 Results	2006 Expectations
Cowlitz River	7,400 preseason forecast 7 day/week fishery 2 fish bag limit	NA
Kalama River	4,500 preseason forecast 7 day/week fishery 2 fish bag limit	NA
Lewis River	7,600 Preseason forecast 7 day/week fishery 2 fish bag limit	NA
Columbia River Fisheries - Recreational
	2005 Results	2006 Expectations
Lower Columbia Spring Season	Mouth to I-5 Br. (1/1-4/20) I-5 Br. to Rooster Rock (3/16-4/20) Rooster R. to Bonn. (3/16-4/20, 3d/wk) (Sun-Tue) Entire Col. Open (6/4-15) 2 chinook (one R.R.-Bonn. 3/16-4/20) 5th year selective fishery regs. 2nd year unmarked fish must remain in water 124,700 angler trips 11,300 fin-clipped chinook kept 3,600 chinook released 1,400 hatchery steelhead kept 76% mark rate	Likely similar to 2005 Selective fishery regulations Upriver mark rate ~70%
Mid Columbia Spring Season (not including Washington terminal fisheries)	Spring chinook open:  3/16-4/20 and 6/4-6/15 Two chinook bag limit; selective fishery regs. 2,300 angler trips (preliminary) 116 fin-clipped chinook kept (preliminary) 50 chinook released (preliminary)	Managed consistent with lower river opportunity Selective fishery regulations
Columbia Summer Season	Summer chinook open: 6/16-7/31 Two chinook bag limit and non-selective regs. during 7/1-7/31 (4th fishery since 1973) 38,500 angler trips 1,600 fin-clipped chinook kept 500 chinook released 76% mark rate 3,700 hatchery steelhead kept Negligible chinook catch above Bonn. Dam	Return down from 2005 June 16-July 31 open Mark rate >50%
Buoy 10	Coho open all season (8/1-12/31) Chinook open 8/1-9/30 and 10/20-12/31 12,360 chinook guideline Two fish limit 8/1-12/31; only one chinook 54,000 angler trips 9,200 chinook 6,900 fin-clipped coho	Coho return down from 2005 Fall chinook strong but reduced from 2005 Manage for stability
Lower Columbia Fall Season	Chinook open 8/1-9/17 and 10/20-12/31 two fish limit, only one chinook 16,540 chinook guideline 86,600 trips 18,300 fall chinook 600 fin-clipped coho 2,600 fin-clipped steelhead	Fall chinook strong but reduced from 2005
Sturgeon	Keeper population static Managed for 30,600 annual catch split 17,800 estuary and 12,800 non-estuary Trips Catch Estuary     62,300  17,900 Non-estuary  78,400 12,400 (update) 140,700 30,300	Keeper population static Manage for 32,000 annual catch through 2008 Seasons set Dec. 15, 2005
Shad	20,400 trips in Columbia; more in Willamette 165,000 sport catch kept in Columbia	Huge population-no limits Excellent opportunity
Ocean Fisheries - Recreational
	2005 Results	2006 Expectations
Cape Falcon, OR to Leadbetter Pt, WA	Coho open: 7/3-7/28, 5days/week, and 7/29-9/30 7days /week Coho quota 60,900 45,300 OR WA trips 38,700 fin-clipped coho 13,200 chinook	Chinook similar to 2005 Coho similar to 2005
Cape Falcon to Humbug Mtn.	Chinook similar to 2005 Coho similar to 2005	Chinook similar to 2005 Coho similar to 2005
Humbug Mtn. to OR/CA Border (OR KMZ)	Chinook-only open 5/21-7/4 and  8/14-9/11 Coho open:  6/18-7/4 12,500 Oregon trips 5,700 chinook 100 fin-clipped coho	Possibly reduced from 2005
Chetco Terminal	Chinook-only open 10/1-10/12 3,000 trips 500 chinook	Similar to 2005
Tillamook Terminal	Chinook-only open 9/1-11/15 4,300 trips 1,300 chinook	Similar to 2005, but depends on ocean boating conditions
Oregon Coastal Rivers - Recreational
	2005 Results	2006 Expectations <
North Coast Spring Chinook	Good wild return Good hatchery return 4th selective fishery	Similar to 2005
Central and South Coast Fall Chinook	Good returns Good fishery	Similar to 2005 Good fishery
Rogue River Spring Chinook	Good fishery Gold Ray Dam count 17,500 adults and 700 jacks, wild number currently not available	Similar to 2005 Modified selective fishery 1 wild per day; 3 per year
Columbia River Fisheries - Commercial
	2005 Results	2006 Expectations
Winter Sturgeon	Reduced harvest from 1997-2004 Seven 24-hr. periods (Jan. 18-Feb. 25; Z 1-5) 473 white sturgeon	Similar to recent years
Winter Salmon	Reduced adult returns limited fishery Seven periods (Mar. 1-Apr. 1; 8-20 hrs each) (5 large mesh; 2 tangle net) Mouth to Longview Bridge ~5,300 spring chinook, 70 white sturgeon	Similar approach to recent years Reduced run forecast Allocation decision in January
Summer Salmon	Good fishery Six periods (10-h each; 8-9.75” mesh; Z 1-5) ~2,800 chinook; ~1,400 white sturgeon 38 green sturgeon	TBD Allocation decision in February
August	Eight periods (11-12 hours each) ~11,400 chinook; 87 coho ~2,100 white sturgeon; 32 green sturgeon	Similar to recent years
Late Fall	20 fishing periods (Sept. 19-Oct. 28) Various mesh/zone restrictions ~16,100 chinook; ~32,300 coho; 9 chum ~3,800 white sturgeon; 20 green sturgeon	TBD Dependent on chinook forecast
Shad	Area 2S (26 days; May 23-June 30) Washougal Reef (30 days; May 15-June 23) No harvest in Washougal ~49,000 shad in 2S (similar to 2004)	Similar to 2005 No Washougal in 2006?
Smelt	Poor season (~100 pounds each in CR/Cowlitz	Poor; Level 1
Select Area Fisheries - Commercial
	2005 Results	2006 Expectations
Winter (YB/BS)	Mediocre season (4th highest since 1998) 190 spring chinook; 9 white sturgeon	First year of SFK returns in YB Expand opportunity upstream? Impact dependent
Spring (YB/BS/DR)	Poor season (lowest catch since 1999) Restricted fisheries due to inflated CR impacts 2,121 spring chinook; 203 white sturgeon	First year of SFK returns in YB but CHS returns will still be down Expand opportunity upstream? Limited test fishery in TP? Impact dependent
Summer (YB)	Poor season (lowest catch ever) 95 chinook; 67 white sturgeon	First year of SFK returns in YB but CHS returns will still be down Expand opportunity upstream? Limited test fishery in TP? Impact dependent
Fall (YB/BS/TP/DR)	Good season; high harvest; high value 65,807 coho; 8,696 chinook; 1 chum 74 white sturgeon; 1 green sturgeon	Same season approach Fewer coho in Youngs Bay
2006 Ocean Fishery Process Schedule
Dec. 1-2, 2005 8 a.m.	Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission L. Columbia Sturgeon allocation/management	Salem, OR ODFW Headquarters
Dec. 2-3, 2005 8 a.m.	Washington Fish and Wildlife Commission L. Columbia Sturgeon allocation/management	Olympia, WA WDFW Headquarters
Dec. 15, 2005 10 a.m.	Columbia River Compact Commercial sturgeon and smelt Recreational sturgeon	Longview, WA Cowlitz County PUD 921 12th AVE
Jan. 6, 2006 8 a.m.	Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Spring chinook allocation Winter steelhead allowable impacts	Salem, OR ODFW Headquarters
Jan. 2005 TBD	Sturgeon Management Task Force Zone 6 fishery quotas and regulations	Portland, OR CRITFC
Jan. 17, 2006 4 p.m.	Col. R. Sport Advisory Group Spring chinook management NOF preparation	Vancouver, WA WDFW Regional Office
Jan. 26, 2006 10 a.m.	Columbia River Compact Commercial salmon seasons Sport salmon seasons	Oregon City, OR Museum of the Oregon Territory 211 Tumwater
Feb. 10, 2006 8 a.m.	Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Summer/Fall Chinook allocation	Salem, OR ODFW Headquarters
Mar. 17, 2006 8 a.m.	Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Ocean and state waters salmon fishery options	Newport, OR TBD
Apr. 14, 2006 8 a.m.	Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Adopt ocean and state waters salmon regulations	Salem, OR ODFW Headquarters
See Ocean Process for North of Falcon schedule
Feb. 2006	CDFG Public Meeting 2006 forecasts 2006 salmon season discussions	Sacramento, CA
Late Feb./Early March, 2006	WDFW Public Meeting 2006 forecasts	WDFW
Feb 22-23, 2006	Klamath Fishery Management Council 2006 forecasts Initial shaping of Klamath chinook management options	Eureka, CA
Mar. 2, 2006	Ocean Salmon Industry Group 2006 forecasts Initial discussions of 2006 season options	Newport, OR
Mar. 5-10, 2006	Pacific Fishery Management Council Adopt 2006 ocean salmon options for public review	Seattle, WA Seattle Mariott Hotel Sea Tac
Mar. 13-24, 2006	North of Falcon I (Public Meetings) Salmon season negotiations for Columbia River, Puget Sound, Willapa Bay, Grays Harbor, and ocean areas north of Cape Falcon, OR	TBD
March 2006	North of Falcon l WDFW/WA tribes	WDFW
Mar. 17, 2006  8:00 a.m.	Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Ocean and state waters salmon fishery options	Newport, OR TBD
Mar. 27, 2006	PFMC Public Options Hearing Public input on 2006 season options	Coos Bay, OR TBD
Mar. 20-31, 2006	North of Falcon II (Public Meeting) Continued negotiations	TBD
Apr. 2-7, 2006	PFMC Adopt 2005 ocean salmon fishery regulations	Sacramento, CA Doubletree Hotel
Apr. 14, 2006 8:00 a.m.	Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Adopt state water ocean salmon fishery regulations Adopt certain coastal and inland salmon fishery regulations	Salem, OR ODFW Headquarters