Columbia River Fall Chinook 2004 Preliminary Returns and Forecasts for 2005
February 10, 2005
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
U.S. v Oregon Technical Advisory Committee Sub-group

Stock Group	2005 February Forecasts	2004 Actual Returns	2004 February Forecasts
Lower River Hatchery - LRH	74,100	108,900	77,100
Lower River Wild - LRW	20,200	22,300	24,100
Bonneville Pool Hatchery - BPH	114,100	175,300	138,000
Upriver Bright - URB	352,200	367,900	292,200
Bonneville Upriver Bright - BUB	47,100	54,500	40,000
Pool Upriver Bright - PUB	42,300	63,100	50,400
Columbia River Total	650,000	792,000	621,800

Lower River Hatchery Stock – LRH

• Good return
• Less than recent four years
• Similar to recent 10-year average of 80,600

Lower River Wild Stock – LRW

• Good return
• Similar to last three years
• Greater than recent 10-year average

Bonneville Pool Hatchery Stock – BPH

• Strong return
• Less than last four years
• Greater than recent 10-year average of 82,700

Upriver Bright Stock – URB

• Strong return – includes record high age-4 component
• Similar to last two years
• 4th largest return since 1964
• 65% greater than recent 10-year average of 212,600

Bonneville Upriver Bright - BUB

• Good return
• Less than recent three years
• Greater than recent 10-year average of 34,700

Pool Upriver Bright - PUB

• Good return
• Less than recent three years
• Greater than 10-year average of 38,400

Total forecast of 650,000 Columbia River fall chinook is less than recent three years but greater than recent 10-year average of 468,000.