2006 Preseason Forecasts and 2005 Actual returns Columbia River Fall Chinook

February 9, 2006
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
U.S. v Oregon Technical Advisory Committee Sub-group

Stock Group	2006 February Forecasts	2005 Actual Returns	2005 February Forecasts
Lower River Hatchery - LRH	55,800	78,300	74,100
Lower River Wild - LRW	16,600	16,800	20,200
Bonneville Pool Hatchery - BPH	50,000	93,100	114,100
Upriver Bright - URB	253,900	268,700	352,200
Bonneville Upriver Bright - BUB	29,700	52,700	47,100
Pool Upriver Bright - PUB	58,600	45,300	42,300
Columbia River Total	464,600	554,900	650,000

2006 Forecasts

• LRH – About half of recent five year average, and less than the ten year average.
• LRW –Similar to last year’s return. Similar to the ten year average.
• BPH – About half of last year’s return and one half of the ten year average.
• URB – Strong return. Similar to last year’s actual return. Slightly greater than recent ten year average.
• BUB – About half of last year’s actual return. Slightly less than the recent 10 year average.
• PUB – Good return. Greater than 10-year average.
• Total forecast of 464,600 Columbia River fall chinook is similar to the recent 10-year average return.