Columbia River Fall Chinook 2007 Preseason Forecasts

Stock Group	2007 February Forecasts	2006 Actual Returns	2006 February Forecasts
Lower River Hatchery - LRH	54,900	58,300	55,800
Lower River Wild - LRW	10,100	18,100	16,600
Bonneville Pool Hatchery - BPH	21,800	27,900	50,000
Upriver Bright - URB	182,400	230,400	253,900
Bonneville Upriver Bright - BUB	38,500	45,200	29,700
Pool Upriver Bright - PUB	29,500	35,200	58,600
Columbia River Total	337,200	415,100	464,600

2007 Forecasts

• LRH – Similar to last year’s return, and 69% of the ten year average. Similar to the average return in the 1990’s.
• LRW – Poor predicted return. Third lowest return since 1964.
• BPH – Below average return. Less than last year’s return and 25% of the ten year average.
• URB – Less than last year’s actual return. 77% of the ten year average.
• BUB – Less than last year’s actual return. Similar to the recent 10 year average.
• PUB – Less than last year’s actual return. 71% of the 10-year average.
• Total forecast of 337,200 Columbia River fall chinook is 67% of the recent 10-year average return.

February 8, 2007
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
U.S. v Oregon Technical Advisory Committee Sub-group

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