Schedule North of Falcon Meeting Calendar Background North of Falcon Q&A How salmon fishing seasons are set How tribes and state co-manage salmon and steelhead Run-Size Forecasts Chinook Chum Coho Pink Sockeye News   WDFW News Increased salmon fishing restrictions reflect conservation needs, low returns - Apr 10, 2008 Outlook for ocean salmon fisheries reflects poor coho forecasts - Mar 14, 2008 Low returns of coho, wild chinook may put damper on salmon fisheries - Mar 4, 2008 Public meeting scheduled March 4 on 2008 salmon forecast - Feb 1, 2008   Other News Cooperation at Salmon Harvest Talks - Kitsap Sun Fishing | Summer of salmon like last year in Puget Sound waters -Seattle Times Salmon cutbacks serve as warning - Tacoma News Tribune Links WDFW Commercial Fishing Selective Fishing Techniques Pacific Fishery Management Council Northwest Indian Fisheries Commission Oregon Dept. of Fish and Wildlife California Dept. of Fish and Game

2008 Pre-Season Salmon Forecast: Chinook 2008 Puget Sound Summer/Fall Chinook Preseason Forecasts Region Watershed Footnotes Forecast Type Hatchery Supplmt Wild Total Comp Chinook Management Criteria RER/8 Low Abundance Thresholds/9 Strait Hoko 1 Esc w/o fishing     1,077 1,318 <10% So. U.S. 500 spawners Dungeness 1 Terminal     1,007 1,007 <10% So. U.S. 500 spawners Elwha 2 Terminal     2,178 2,178 <10% So. U.S. 1,000 spawners Region total 0 4,262 4,503 North Sound Glenwood Springs   4B 839     839     Nooksack/Samish 3 4B 35,271     35,271     Skagit   Terminal 700   23,800 24,500 50% total 4800 spawners Stillaguamish   Esc w/o fishing   495 637 1,132 25% total 650 spawners Snohomish   Esc w/o fishing 8,848   6,541 15,389 21% total 2800 spawners Tulalip   Esc w/o fishing 4,111     4,111     Region total 49,769 495 30,978 81,242     Upper South Sound Lake Washington Issaquah 5 4B 22,826     22,826     Univ. of Wa   4B 2,121     2,121     Cedar   4B     1,060 1,060 15% preterm So. U.S., 1200 esc goal 200 spawners North Tributaries   4B     176 176     Subregion total 24,947 1,236 26,183     Green River Soos Creek Hatchery   4B 12,114     12,114     Icy Creek   4B 953     953     Mainstem/Newaukum 1 4B     14,538 14,538 15% preterm So. U.S., 5800 esc goal 1800 spawners Subregion total 13,067 14,538 27,605     Grovers   4B 2,904     2,904 East Kitsap(Gorst, Dogfish, Clear) 4 4B 2,671     2,671 Subregion total 5,575 5,575   Puyallup River 1 4B 3,614   1,400 5,014 50% total 500 spawners Upper South Sound total 47,203 17,174 64,377 Lower South Sound Carr Inlet 5 4B 7,100     7,100     Deschutes 5 4B 13,372     13,372     Nisqually 1 4B 26,349   3,877 30,226 1100 escapement goal   Chambers 5 4B 7,260     7,260     McAllister 6 4B       0 Program is terminated   Coulter 7 4B       0 Program is terminated   Lower South Sound total 54,081 3,877 57,958     South Sound total 101,284 0 21,051 122,335     Hood Canal Skokomish w/George Adams 10 Terminal 20,404   2,109 22,513 total 3650 esc goal w/1650 nat esc 1300 spawners 12B naturals   Terminal     61 61 15% preterm So. U.S. 750 esc goal 400 spawners 12C/12H   Terminal 13,803   403 14,206     12D   Terminal     50 50     Hood Canal total 34,207 0 2,623 36,830       GRAND TOTAL 185,260 495 58,914 244,910   Footnotes Wild forecast includes hatchery origin and natural origin fish Combine hatchery and natural forecasts This includes returns to Samish, Whatcom, Nooksack and Lummi Bay and neighboring streams. Forecast resulting from rearing pond production spawning in river of origin or in neighboring streams Combined natural and hatchery spawner forecast (all fish of hatchery origin) Last releases from BY 2001, no fall chinook are expected Hatchery chinook releases terminated with BY 2000. 2008 forecast is wild production of naturally spawning hatchery fish. RER= Recovery Exploitation Rate (interim management ceiling during recovery phase). Level of spawning abundance that triggers additional management action. The low abundance threshold includes 800 natural and/or 500 hatchery spawners Puget Sound Spring Chinook 2008 Preseason Forecasts Region Notes Forecast Type Hatchery Supplmt Wild Total RER Low Abundance Thresholds Nooksack River   North Fork 1 Terminal 1,332 978 331 2,641 Under Development 1000 spawners South Fork 2 Terminal 47 47 Under Development 1000 spawners Skagit River   Terminal 2,100   1,700 3,800 38% total 576 spawners White River Minter Creek 4 Terminal 509     509     White River Hatchery 3,4 Terminal 1,122     1,122     Buckley Trap 5 Terminal   6,200   6,200 20% total 200 spawners Total White River Springs           7,831     TOTAL PUGET SOUND 5,063 7,178 2,078 14,319   Supplementation number is hatchery-origin acclimated fish expected to spawn in the wild. Forecast of SF Nooksack stock origin chinook. Forecast that includes non-native origin fish is 138. Forecast of tagged returns to the hatchery rack only. For FRAM modeling purposes, x are estimated to originate from fingerling production and x from yearling production. Includes naturally produced spring and fall chinook returns and acclimation pond production. Washington Coast 2008 Chinook Preseason Forecasts Region Hatchery Wild Totals Natural Escapement Goal North Coast Quillayute River     Spring 1,745   1,745 200     Summer   771 771 1,200     Fall   5,493 5,493 > of 3,000 or 60% of run Hoh Spring/Summer 892 892 >of 900 or 69% of RS Fall   2,873 2,873 >of 1,200 or 60% of RS Queets     Spring/Summer     0 >of 700 or 70% of RS     Fall1     0 >of 2,500 or 60% of RS North Coast totals     Summer/Falls 0 9,137 9,137       Spring/Summers 1,745 892 2,637   Grays Harbor     Chehalis springs   912 912 1400     Chehalis falls 542 11,563 12,105 12,364     Humptulips falls 1,917 3,707 5,624 2,236     Subregion Falls Total 2,459 15,270 17,729   Willapa Bay 27,047 2,516 29,563   COAST TOTAL 31,251 28,727 59,978