Washington Dept. of Fish and Wildlife NORTH OF FALCON

Background
North of Falcon Q&A
How salmon fishing seasons are set
How tribes and state co-manage salmon and steelhead

Pre-Season Forecasts
Chinook
Coho
Chum
Pink
Sockeye

WDFW News
2009 salmon fisheries approved - Apr 8, 2009
Joint statement: Treaty tribes, state develop salmon seasons that protect weak wild stocks - Apr 8, 2009
Federal panel adopts options for ocean salmon sport fisheries - Mar 12, 2009
Strong return of Columbia River coho, Puget Sound pink salmon projected - Mar 3, 2009
Public meeting scheduled March 3 on 2009 salmon forecast - Feb 18, 2009
Second public workshop scheduled to discuss how sport salmon fishing seasons are set - Nov 17, 2008
Public workshop scheduled to discuss how recreational salmon fishing seasons are established - Sep 23, 2008

Other News

Season looks good for us (Aberdeen Daily World)

Salmon anglers catch a break with no quotas and longer season (Seattle Times)

Good news on salmon fishing in Puget Sound (Tacoma News Tribune)

Links
WDFW Commercial Fishing
Selective Fishing Techniques
Pacific Fishery Management Council
Northwest Indian Fisheries Commission
Oregon Dept. of Fish and Wildlife
California Dept. of Fish and Game

2009 Pre-Season Salmon Forecast:
Chinook

2009 Puget Sound Summer/Fall Chinook Preseason Forecasts
Region
Watershed
Footnotes
Forecast
Type
Hatchery
Supplmt
Wild
Total
Comp Chinook Management Criteria
RER/8
Low Abundance
Thresholds/9
Strait
Hoko 1 Esc w/o fishing     969 969 <10% So. U.S. 500 spawners
Dungeness 1 Terminal     727 727 <10% So. U.S. 500 spawners
Elwha 2 Terminal     1,708 1,708 <10% So. U.S. 1,000 spawners
Region total     0   3,404 3,404    
North Sound
Glenwood Springs   4B 149     149    
Nooksack/Samish 3 4B 23,014     23,014    
Skagit   Terminal 639   23,400 24,039 50% total 4,800 spawners
Stillaguamish   Esc w/o fishing   598 1,086 1,684 25% total 650
Snohomish   Esc w/o fishing 4,857   8,410 13,268 21% total 2,800 spawners
Tulalip   Esc w/o fishing 3,966     3,966    
Region total     32,625 598 32,897 66,119    
Upper South Sound
Lake Washington
Issaquah 5 4B 13,096     13,096    
Univ. of Wa   4B 1,488     1,488    
Cedar   4B     1,549 1,549 15% preterm So. U.S., 1,200 esc goal 200 spawners
North Tributaries   4B     312 312   500 spawners
Subregion total     14,584   1,861 16,445    
Green River
Soos Creek Hatchery   4B 11,965     11,965    
Icy Creek   4B 842     842    
Mainstem/Newaukum 1 4B     9,224 9,224 15% preterm So. U.S., 5,800 esc goal 1,800 spawners
Subregion total     12,807   9,224 22,031    
Grovers   4B 2,346     2,346
East Kitsap (Gorst, Dogfish, Clear) 4 4B 5,907     5,907
Subregion total     8,253     8,253  
Puyallup River 1 4B 6,060   1,476 7,536 50% total 500 spawners/12
Upper South Sound total 41,704   12,561 54,265
Lower South Sound Carr Inlet 5 4B 11,948     11,948    
Deschutes 5 4B 10,692     10,692    
Nisqually 1 4B 21,331   4,606 25,937 1,100 escapement goal  
Chambers 5 4B 7,370     7,370    
McAllister 6 4B       0 Program is terminated  
Coulter 7 4B       0 Program is terminated  
Lower South Sound Total     51,341   4,606 55,947    
South Sound total 93,045 0 17,167 110,212    
Hood Canal
Skokomish w/George Adams 10 Terminal 26,696   2,118 28,814 15% preterm So. U.S. total 3,650 esc goal w/1,650 nat esc/13 1,300 spawners/13
12B naturals   Terminal     114 114 12% preterm So. U.S. 750 esc goal 400 spawners
12C/12D/12H   Terminal 13,446   271 13,717    
12D   Terminal     See above 0    
Hood Canal total     40,142 0 2,503 42,645    
 
Grand total
165,812 598 55,970 222,380
 
Footnotes
  1. Wild forecast Includes hatchery origin and natural origin fish
  2. Combine hatchery and natural forecasts
  3. This includes returns to Samish, Whatcom, Nooksack and Lummi Bay and neighboring streams.
  4. Forecast resulting from rearing pond production spawning in river of origin or in neighboring streams
  5. Combined natural and hatchery spawner forecast (all fish of hatchery origin)
  6. Last releases from BY 2001, no fall chinook are expected.
  7. Hatchery chinook releases terminated with BY 2000. 2007 forecast is wild production of naturally spawning hatchery fish.
  8. RER= Recovery Exploitation Rate (interim management ceiling during recovery phase).
  9. Level of spawning abundance that triggers additional management action.
  10. The low abundance threshold includes 800 natural and/or 500 hatchery spawners
  11. Threshhold expressed as natural origin spawners
  12. Goal for South Prairie Cr Index
  13. Aggregate for combined hatchery and wild spawners

Puget Sound Spring Chinook 2009 Preseason Forecasts
Region
Notes
Forecast
Type
Hatchery
Supplmt
Wild
Total
RER
Low Abundance
Thresholds
Nooksack River
North Fork 1 Terminal 748 1,143 261 2,152 Under Development 1000 spawners/11
South Fork 2 Terminal     54 54 Under Development 1000 spawners/11
Skagit River Terminal 1,395   1,154 2,549 38% total 576 spawners
White River
Minter Creek 6 Terminal 678     678    
White River Hatchery 3,4 Terminal 1,113     1,113    
Buckley Trap 5 Terminal   791   791 20% total 200 spawners
Total White River Springs
          2,582    
Total Puget Sound
3,934 1,934 1,469 7,337  
  1. Supplementation number is hatchery-origin acclimated fish expected to spawn in the wild.
  2. Forecast of SF Nooksack stock origin chinook. Forecast that includes non-native origin fish is 138.
  3. Forecast of tagged returns to the hatchery rack only.
  4. For FRAM modeling purposes, 710 are estimated to originate from fingerling production and 403 from yearling production
  5. Includes naturally produced spring and fall chinook returns and acclimation pond production
  6. White River Spring production from Minter Creek H is not modeled in FRAM.

Washington Coast 2009 Chinook Preseason Forecasts
Region
Hatchery
Wild
Totals
Natural Escapement Goal
North Coast
Quillayute River
    Spring 2,000   2,000 200
    Summer   1,183 1,183 1200 (WDFW goal ONLY)
    Fall   5,583 5,583 > of 3,000 or 60% of run
Hoh
    Spring/Summer 1,061 1,061 >of 900 or 69% of RS
    Fall   3,276 3,276 >of 1,200 or 60% of RS
Queets
    Spring/Summer     0 >of 700 or 70% of RS
    Fall     0 >of 2,500 or 60% of RS
Quinault
    Fall     0  
North Coast Totals:
Summer/Falls
0 10,042 10,042
Spring/Summers
2,000 1,061 3,062
Grays Harbor
    Chehalis Springs   1,019 1,019 1,400
    Chehalis Falls 364 13,451 13,815 12,364
    Humptulips Falls 2,574 5,874 8,448 2,236
    Subregion Falls Total 2,938 19,325 22,263  

Willapa Bay

34,817 1,951 36,768  
Coast Total 39,756 33,398 73,154

 


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